Friday, May 6, 2011

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Referendum Results 2011

Question 1: Lapse Remand
The results 2011 referendum were released from 17h00 on Saturday 7 May Based on data from the polling firm of Santiago Perez was the only one authorized to perform The Exit Poll or exit survey of polling stations. The results of this survey give the victory to YES on all questions of the referendum , but with a narrow margin in some cases with a difference less than the margin of error for the survey (2%), according to the official pollster Santiago Perez.

In three provinces, Tungurahua, Chimborazo and Morona Santiago NO and also triumphed in the question about bullfighting, in which the results are valid for each county, the NO victory in more than a dozen counties. ; While there was the triumph of SI in all the consultations questions Popular the margin of difference is less than expected and it shows a strengthening of the opposition, especially in the Sierra region, especially in the central region and in several provinces of the Amazon. It must be noted that these are unofficial data an exit poll survey or exit poll, surely the CNE official data will be different and these figures will vary according to advance the official count.

Question 2: Alternatives to preventive detention
unofficial data query yesterday reflected a new political reality in the country: Rafael Correa's government began to cede ground to the opposition.

While four polls mark a trend in favor of Yes, this time the official victory was not as forceful as outlined in similar elections.

studies Cedatos-Ecuavisa, Market, Santiago Perez and CMS agreed that the Self was imposed in the query, but not so wide margin compared to not driven by the opposition.

On average, the thesis of Carondelet achieved a national triumph in the 10 questions, with an average of 55.3%. While not led by former members of Alianza PaĆ­s and other leftist organizations and opposition political sectors came to have a vote of 40.3% of votes. Both

unofficial figures mark an escalation of opposition forces in the electoral map, regarding referendums held in 2007 and 2008.

The No rose 12.3 points against approving the 2008 constitutional referendum. As compared to the query that led to the Constituent Assembly of 2007, the increase is at 27.9 points.
Question 3: Prohibitions on Banking and Media

According to Alberto Acosta, leader of Montecristi Lives and former head of the Constituent Assembly, the results should be a warning to the government, because the difference is not as daunting as originally predicted by the Executive. "If we add the null and not those of whites, will not achieve the results of the referendum on the Constitution. This time there was the rout of 7 to 1 that said the president, "said Acosta.

Indeed, none of the four informal polls of the 10 questions have come to turn the vote to No. This left without a livelihood to the latest forecast made in April by the Minister of Policy, Doris Soliz, when he said Government's argument that would be imposed 2-1 in the query.

"When you know the official results of the consultation will be evident discontent of citizens and workers, as they will know how many voted no, black or the No", emphasizes Rafael Antuni, coordinator of Pachakutik, a movement that was allied regime.

This is not the only indicator that showed progress of forces aligned to the management of Correa. According to the study of Cedatos, the No vote won by at least three provinces: Chimborazo, Tungurahua and Morona. Even Santiago Perez, who made an 'exit poll' for a channel seized in at least six provinces have a technical tie.
even transition
Question 4: Judiciary Council
cantonal
The character in question 8, related to death of bulls, also paved the way for Correa's thesis is defeated in some cities . The selective study of CMS notes that the initiative will lose Correa in 13 cantons (Pichincha, Tungurahua and Chimborazo).

This new scenario of the country still must be confirmed by the official count of the National Electoral Council. The agency provided the data broadcast last night of a quick count, based on actual data for 3 900 together.
Question 5: Changes in Judicial Council
Private
Question 6: Unjustified Enrichment
Question 7: Prohibition of casinos and gambling halls
Question 8: Death in Corridas Toros Ban
Question 9: Media Communication Regulatory Council
Question 10: Crime with no affiliation to IESS




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