the constitutional referendum in 2008, his study was a setback, to get out of their margin of error. Specifically, in Guayaquil, where Day said that the Self polls sponsored by the government reached 47.3% compared to 42.8% of No.
These data did not match the official count, which resulted in a victory with 46.9% No about 45.8% of Yes, ie the 'exit poll' exceeded its margin of error.
By then, Perez justified the inaccuracy in a long survey has a margin of error and that there was a movement intended to vote in this city.
However, yesterday, Pérez suggested that there was no error in his 'exit poll' of 2008, but apparent irregularities in the counting of votes. "I have evidence that eventually in the process of scrutiny of the referendum there was a systematic change in the vote to twist the outcome in favor of not. " In the 2009 elections the exit poll survey had not been entirely accurate. At that time predicted the country would block 61-member alliance, the PSP 23 and MPD 7.
But the count of the Electoral Council ruled that the ruling party won 59 seats, the PSP 19 and emepedismo only five. "We always said that there was a level of inaccuracy was corrected with the following layers of information about the results."
For consultation on Saturday, the interviewer admits that there will be complexities in the information processing, since a voter may vote differently on 10 questions. However, work with the same 2% margin of error, but will not disclose in Gamatv the results of those questions that are in that band.
However, some of his colleagues believe that the query does present additional challenges that may affect the margin of error. Paulina Recalde, director's opinion, poll says that if a person did not vote in iron is hard to remember how. "This is the main difficulty."
A similar approach is Confidential Report Santiago Nieto, who emphasizes that the way they are asked questions, more high lack of knowledge about its contents, "give a margin of error greater than 2%."
"There is a control of the internal reliability and the calculation did not allow us to present an 'exit poll' under control standards." That was the response Nieto who requested the survey conduct exit polls.
In this context, 'exit poll' of Perez will be the only result of the day due at 17:00 and will serve to contrast the data from the Council. In fact, the Minister Fausto Camacho announced that at 18:30 you just know the first real data. Hence, voices like of Fabricio Correa has criticized the firm is making Pérez-work for the Government, is the only unofficial data give the first consultation, to be received by the President seized the channel.
Important for the Consultation Polpular
Work activities will be until noon tomorrow to the public and private is under consideration by the directors.
morning classes will be suspended in schools that are polling places. In other institutions is the decision of the authorities. On Monday, the day will be normal.
Civil Registry normally attend tomorrow. That is, from 07:00 to 19:00. While on Saturday it will be in from 07:00 to 17:00.
The prohibition went into effect today at 00:00 and runs until 00:00 on Monday. In this period is prohibited the marketing and consumption of alcohol.
To view the polling place you can call the 150 number, you can enter a virtual page of the Electoral Council: www.cne.gob.ec.
proselytizing acts are prohibited on election day. Voters may not wear shirts or carry banners that make allusion to the topics covered in the consultation.
39 000 policemen patrolling the streets during the process, provide security for citizens and control traffic. The Judicial Police will work normally.
public transport service normally attend. Integrated transport systems in Quito: Ecovía, trolleybus and attend on a regular schedule Metrovía
Source: El Comercio
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